SBUX (Starbucks) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $3.45 (As of Mar. 2026)


SBUX Starbucks Corp SBUX
81 GF Score
Price $103.39
GF Value $98.69
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Starbucks Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Starbucks SBUX +1.17% 81 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $3.45 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates SBUX with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of $98.69 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Starbucks's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $0.080. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $3.45 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Starbucks's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 3.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.70% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 18.30% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Starbucks was 65.10% per year. The lowest was 8.70% per year. And the median was 25.35% per year.

As of today (2026-07-02), Starbucks's current stock price is $103.39. Starbucks's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $3.45. Starbucks's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 29.97.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Starbucks was 79.52. The lowest was 22.65. And the median was 39.97.


Starbucks  (NAS:SBUX) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Starbucks's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=103.39/3.45
=29.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Starbucks was 79.52. The lowest was 22.65. And the median was 39.97.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Starbucks Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Starbucks Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Starbucks's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Starbucks Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Starbucks Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.29 2.63 2.90 3.32 3.41

Starbucks Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.33 3.36 3.41 3.40 3.45

SBUX vs MCD, YUM, CMG: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Starbucks's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Starbucks Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Starbucks's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Starbucks's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


SBUX
81GF Score
Starbucks Corp SBUX
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Starbucks Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Starbucks's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.08/330.2130*330.2130
=0.080

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Starbucks Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.487 241.018 0.667
201609 0.691 241.428 0.945
201612 0.831 241.432 1.137
201703 0.090 243.801 0.122
201706 0.534 244.955 0.720
201709 0.413 246.819 0.553
201712 0.979 246.524 1.311
201803 -0.009 249.554 -0.012
201806 0.508 251.989 0.666
201809 5.831 252.439 7.627
201812 1.554 251.233 2.043
201903 -0.019 254.202 -0.025
201906 0.600 256.143 0.774
201909 0.483 256.759 0.621
201912 1.211 256.974 1.556
202003 -1.461 258.115 -1.869
202006 -0.640 257.797 -0.820
202009 0.972 260.280 1.233
202012 1.278 260.474 1.620
202103 0.473 264.877 0.590
202106 1.190 271.696 1.446
202109 0.872 274.310 1.050
202112 1.236 278.802 1.464
202203 -0.254 287.504 -0.292
202206 0.731 296.311 0.815
202209 0.481 296.808 0.535
202212 0.934 296.797 1.039
202303 0.245 301.836 0.268
202306 0.931 305.109 1.008
202309 1.084 307.789 1.163
202312 1.568 306.746 1.688
202403 -0.135 312.332 -0.143
202406 0.833 314.175 0.876
202409 0.648 315.301 0.679
202412 1.211 315.605 1.267
202503 -0.261 319.799 -0.269
202506 0.381 322.561 0.390
202509 0.811 324.800 0.825
202512 1.116 324.054 1.137
202603 0.080 330.213 0.080

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $3.45 mean?
Starbucks (SBUX) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $3.45 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Starbucks and its competitors.
Is Starbucks' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Starbucks' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $3.45. Overall, Starbucks has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Starbucks' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to MCD and YUM?
Starbucks' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $3.45 can be compared against companies in the Restaurants industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Restaurants company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Starbucks and its competitors. Starbucks's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $3.45. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Starbucks stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Starbucks (SBUX) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $98.69, compared to a current price of $103.39 — trading 4.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $3.45. Starbucks' overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Starbucks (SBUX), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $3.45 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Starbucks (SBUX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Starbucks stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $103.39 is trading 4.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $98.69. GuruFocus considers Starbucks to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for SBUX:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $3.45
  • GF Value™: $98.69 vs. price of $103.39 (4.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SBUX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Starbucks Business Description

Address 2401 Utah Avenue South, Seattle, WA, USA, 98134
Starbucks stands out as the world's biggest and most recognizable coffee brand, powered by ultracustomizable beverages in-store and a sweeping footprint of nearly 41,000 cafes in over 80 countries. About 52% are company-operated, with the balance run by licensees. The company operates roasteries and sells across its North America (74% of revenue as of the end of fiscal 2025), international (21%), and channel development (5%) segments. The brand collects revenue from company-operated stores, licensee royalties, equipment and product sales, retail ready-to-drink beverages, and packaged coffee.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SBUX

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$103.39
Price
$98.69
GF Value